In just two weeks—on Monday, January 20, 2025—Donald Trump will be sworn in as President of the United States, with J.D. Vance as Vice President. This inauguration at the U.S. Capitol Building may trigger market movements. Between potential executive actions, discussions about pardons, and ongoing debates around Jan. 6,2021, United States Capitol attack, it’s wise to stay alert for sudden headlines that might jolt market sentiment.
Key Political Developments to Watch
Immediate Executive Orders New presidents often issue big directives right after taking office. Whether Trump focuses on infrastructure, trade, or rolling back regulations, any significant change can influence market behavior.
Inaugural Address & Legislative Agendas The inaugural speech may touch on tax policies, trade relations, or stimulus plans. Markets respond when they sense a clear priority or direction, so watch for any hints in Trump’s address.
Security or Civil Unrest Large political events can sometimes coincide with protests. While nothing specific is mentioned here, any major disruptions could briefly impact investor confidence and market activity.
Post-Inauguration Actions & Statements Beyond initial executive orders, new announcements on immigration, trade, or defense spending can spur volatility. Keep an eye on major policy shifts that happen soon after the swearing-in.
Possible Pardons & Social Implications Pardons related to the Jan. 6 events might stir public debate or unrest, potentially denting short-term consumer and investor sentiment.
My Point of View
USD Strength With the emotional charge of a president taking office after two alleged assassination attempts—and the inauguration falling on Martin Luther King Jr. Day— I anticipate the U.S. dollar might appreciate. A stronger USD could disadvantage U.S. exporters, so if you’re paying for goods or services in USD, plan ahead to avoid unpleasant surprises.
Lunar New Year Overlook This inauguration overlaps with Lunar New Year festivities season in Asia—often a period of lighter market activity. Don’t let holiday distractions cause you to miss important currency swings. Whether you’re new to trading or just have USD obligations in your business, keep an eye on these events so you can adapt as needed.
Ultimately, remember that major political shifts can create brief but intense waves in the market. Knowing what’s on the horizon—and having a plan for your currency or trading decisions—can help you navigate any turbulence.
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