News


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25
Mar

Pound Seen Extending World’s Worst Losses Through Europe Vote


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Our View: Pound is now extremely sensitive to any events that may escalate U.K. towards Brexit. The recent ‘Brussel attack’ is a prove how much impact Brexit has brought about to the pound. Over the time towards its referendum, we are expecting the pound to continue to extend decline,...


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18
Mar

R.I.P. Dollar Rally as Dovish Fed Spurs Worst Slump Since 2011


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Our View: One of the biggest retracement on the dollar strength is happening now as the Fed cut back on the number of rate hike in 2016. Then again, the monetary policy divergence remains the same, just that the Dollar is extremely sensitive to a dovish Fed. The Dollar weakness...


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17
Mar

Aussie Reaches 8-Month High as Jobless Rate Falls; Kiwi Advances


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Our View: The gain comes mainly from a weakening dollar which extended further after FOMC conference where Yellen scaled back on expectation for rate-hike pace. We are seeing AUDUSD now trading higher than 76 U.S. cents, definitely causing discomfort for RBA as they preferred a weaker currency to rebalance...


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16
Mar

Dollar Rises Before Fed as Kuroda Says Minus 0.5% Rate Possible


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Our View: Nobody is talk about whether the Fed will raise rate this month as it is almost a given that they won’t. Now, people are talking about when will the Fed raise rate next and how will Yellen take this FOMC conference to reaffirm their commitment to raise...


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15
Mar

Yen Advances After Bank of Japan Refrains From Adding Stimulus


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Our View: The Yen has strengthened not just because they kept its rate unchanged. It is mainly because other central banks have been cutting rate thus boosting demand for safe haven asset. The BOJ will however be forced to ease monetary policy further as Yen continues to strengthen. BOJ...


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14
Mar

Aussie Rally Defies China Data as Hedge Funds Raise Bullish Bets


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Our View: Good news for Australia seeing its equity market has rallied despite slowdown in China, its biggest trading partner. But just how can RBA stay still and watch its currency strengthen? It has passed the 75 cent mark and Steven probably wouldn’t be very happy with that. Parred...


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12
Mar

For Euro Bears, Fed Offers Their Last Hope for a Weaker Currency


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Our View: The ECB is now crippled with options to weaken its currency any further. Interest rate has bottomed out and monetary policy has eased extensively. Still, it is not a game changer because the policy divergence remains that the Fed is raising interest rate and ECB continues to...


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08
Mar

RBA’s Lowe Sees Room to Ease, Wants Lower Currency Like Peers Do


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Our View: After months of waiting, RBA is finally annoyed with its currency level strengthening continuously. Like any other central banks, RBA too preferred a lower currency level to bolster growth and inflation during a global economy slowdown. They have seen good results from a low currency value and...